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"Everyone from Mesa seems to think that the injunction is a win."
Well, if you think the Judge ruled for the injunction because Mesa had a case and a decent argument then they may be right.
However, if the Judge ruled the way he did because, if he had not, Mesa would be in CH 11 before they had an opportunity to present their case, then their assumption may be incorrect.
And there lies the real point. The case has not yet been argued.
So is the glass half full or half empty?